Mock drafts are a fantastic way of keeping up with trends and the values of the community. Following last month’s 2021 Rookie Mock Draft, I wanted to run a late March Update, with a 2021 Rookie Mock Draft 2.0.
As people are getting excited ahead of the NFL draft. I wanted to take an updated look at where people are valuing the rookies. This Mock was a 12 team Superflex PPR format.
Possibly the chalkiest pick you will ever see. The “generational” rookie QB will likely be the 1.01 in the majority of Superflex rookie drafts as he was last month.
After Wilson went 1.02 last month we now see Fields at the 1.02. For me with the increased rushing production fields is the 1.02 in this class.
RB1 is always going to start sneaking up the board as the draft approaches. RB value will see a lot of RBs climb as we get closer to May and this is no exception.
This is probably the ceiling for Pitts being drafted and you need him to 100% be a generational TE if you’re spending this higher draft capital on him. Pitts may well be the one prospect who can command this price and pay it off.
A phenomenal prospect and my highest grade WR prospect in the last three years. Chase will be a Dynasty WR1 in value the moment he is drafted.
A huge rise for Lance from last month. Lance is the biggest boom-bust pick in the draft and his draft slot all comes down to appetite for risk.
Wilson tumbles down the board after being the QB2 last month he is now the QB4. Probably the lowest rushing upside of the top four Quarterbacks could hit Wilson in rookie drafts even if he is the 1.02 in the NFL draft.
The fall for Etienne continues as he is no longer being viewed in the same tier as Harris. Draft capital and landing spot dependant Etienne could still be the RB1 but it’s beginning to look less likely.
Javonte Williams is certainly picking up some heat and could eclipse Etienne as the RB2 come May.
With size concerns around a few other receivers, Bateman maintains his first-round capital as a prototypical x receiver who can make an immediate impact at the next level.
Waddle jumps up into the first-round discussion. He is an incredible athlete but will his lack of proven production affect him come rookie drafts in May? If he ends up as the second receiver of the board in April he will likely rise above this value.
Concerns about Moores 5’7” height didn’t see him drop. There are no questions about Moores athleticism and potential but will he find a true role in the NFL.
The run on receivers continues. Marshall could be pushed up in the NFL draft as one of the few big-bodied receivers in a small class.
Big fall for Smith as he drops to the WR6 off the board. People are concerned his 170lbs frame doesn’t transition but at this cost, the risk is well worth it.
If Jones ends up going in the top 10 of the NFL draft this feels about right. But with his non-existent rushing production, the ceiling is very much capped.
Gainwell crossing the 200lbs threshold in his pro day answered a few questions. But does it do enough to convince NFL teams he can carry a full workload?
It feels like quite a tier break after Gainwell. Wallace has a solid production profile but just feels like a limited ceiling.
Draft capital will tell us a lot about how the NFL views Carter. If he can carve out a workhorse role he is sure to be a steal at this cost.
If Brown can be more than just a pure deep threat this could be a steal. Personally, I’m not convinced he can be.
You all know my love for Moore. He is just a match-up nightmare and someone who can produce for fantasy despite his limited size.
If we see Toney taken in the first round of the NFL draft he’ll likely go a lot higher than this in rookie drafts. Personally, I’m happy for other people to reach for him.
The Wide Receiver run continues St. Brown feels like he has a solid floor but will he ever be able to produce more than a WR3/4?
Jordan has an incredible ceiling but also a very low floor. Will Pitts going early push him further up people’s draft boards as they reach for positional need?
At this point in the draft I’m leaning on a Running Back but Williams could be one to see an immediate impact at the next level.
We will be producing these rookie mock drafts every couple of weeks in the run and then after the NFL draft in April. keep checking back to see whose value is rising and falling.