DFS Picks - DFS NFL Week 13

Daily Fantasy Sport – Week 4 – Good Value Time!

We are back again Rush Nation! Week 3 is behind us and boy was it good. Onto week 4 we go…

Following the news that that Titans may have had some positive COVID-19 tests amongst their players and staff, let’s hope that first and foremost, anyone impacted is safe and well. Let us also hope of minimal disruption to this weeks schedule. It’s been a great effort by all involved to get the season up and running and successfully so far. Long may it continue, all being well of course.

It ain’t easy, being cheesy!

What a great week by Allen Lazard. Not so much by Marquez Valdez-Scantling. The former enjoyed a career day last week and far exceeded his modest $4,800 price tag. We’ve seen the trust-building gradually between Lazard and Rodgers, dating back to 2019 where Davante Adams spent some time on the sidelines. He’s priced at $5,500 this week, and rightly so. He could be another bargain if Adams is ruled out for a second week running. Keep an eye on that.

How ‘bout that contract?

What is the deal with Austin Hooper? I recommended taking a look last week, as he faced perfect opposition in the Washington Football Team. He posted a meagre 5.5 draft king points. That’s simply not good enough for a Tight End who has been paid so handsomely. Needless to say, until I see evidence of a Mayfield to Hooper connection, you won’t be seeing his name on this article again anytime soon!

That brings me nicely onto my week 4 recommendations. The aim as always will be to seek out those players at a bargain price. The players who are potentially underpriced but could over-perform their price tag.

As was the case in previous weeks, player prices will reflect Draft Kings prices. The points scored will also reflect Draft Kings point-scoring, which differs slightly from standard Fantasy points.

QB – Matt Stafford ($5,900) vs Saints

New Orleans is starting to look a little vulnerable in their secondary. Their defence has given up 34 and 37 points in their last two weeks. Their 8 passing touchdowns conceded ties them second-worst in the NFL. Matt Stafford, in my eyes, is one of the League’s most underrated quarterbacks. He now has his star Receiver back, Kenny Golladay. New Orleans is the leagues worst team against Tight Ends currently, and Detroit has a good one in T.J. Hockenson. This looks like a great matchup this week for Stafford. Odd to say given that just 3 weeks ago, most had New Orleans as a team to be reckoned with in the NFC!

RB – Darrell Henderson Jr ($5,800) vs Giants

Two good weeks on the bounce sees Darrell Henderson appearing in my recommendations. This is one I should have seen last week, but he was against the Bills who have a very good run defence. That didn’t stop him having a strong showing. He had his best showing yet out of the backfield, totalling 114 rushing yards and a touchdown. The Rams offence revolves around a successful run game. When they can run the football, they can put up points. Their offensive line has also notably improved this season. This week, the Rams and Henderson face the Giants. Nothing more needs to be said there really! Overlook Henderson at your peril.

RB – Joe Mixon ($5,800) vs Jaguars

There has to be a week where Joe Mixon comes alive. Yes, the Bengals have been behind in most games. Yes, they’ve been throwing the ball more often than not. Of course, their offensive line isn’t very good. With all that said, Mixon is a talented Back. Many had Mixon as a top 10 Running Back this season, ready to make the next leap in his career. It’s time for him to show it against the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Dolphins managed to run the ball with much success against Jacksonville last week. The game script may have a big say in this one. If Joe Burrow’s Bengals can gain an early lead, the game could open up for Mixon and the ground game. I quite like the price here, too. $5,800 is arguably below the average price for a talented Running Back that’s due a good game.

WR – DeVante Parker ($5,700) vs Seahawks

The Seattle Seahawks are showing no signs of ability to stop opposition Receivers enjoying their recent outings against them. They’ve given up a staggering 1,136 yards to opposition Receivers so far. Add to that 5 touchdowns and an average of 79.2 draft king points to receivers per week. Parker has had a steady start to his campaign, averaging 12.3 points per week. $5,700 is his lowest price of the season so far. My vision for this game is that Seattle will win, it should be comfortable. That does, however, mean that Miami will need to throw the ball, which of course will benefit DeVante Parker.

WR – DJ Moore ($5,600) vs Cardinals

Okay. Carolina. It’s time to swallow your pride and get the ball in the hands of DJ Moore as often as possible. 4 targets last week was a season-low, but before that, Moore was one of the League’s most targeted Receivers. Arizona is a good defence against opposition Wide Receivers, with only Kansas City average lower draft king points per week against them. However, I think this is yet another game where the game script will come into play. If Carolina falls behind, they’re going to have to throw. DJ Moore is Carolina’s Number 1 Receiver. Bridgewater has established a good connection with him early in the season. He is capable of making plays. With McCaffrey also injured, it should allow for a higher chance of involvement for Moore. I’ll be very surprised if he is priced this low again this season, too.

WR – Brandon Aiyuk ($5,000) vs Eagles

Welcome to the NFL, Brandon Aiyuk! He made his debut in week 2 but waited until week 3 to make his mark. He scored 21.1 points, with 70 yards and a touchdown on 5 receptions. San Francisco’s injury concerns continue to plague their offence. All the more reason to invest $5,000 into Aiyuk this week. He was drafted as the team lacked a partner for Deebo Samuel (currently injured) and is starting to repay the faith the 49ers showed in him. This week, the 49ers face the troubled Eagles. Their defence has allowed an average of 42 draft king points per week against opposition Receivers, 9th worst in the NFL. Kittle may be back, but the 49ers are still a little thin on the ground at Running Back and Wide Receiver, so expect further involvement from Brandon Aiyuk.

TE – T.J. Hockenson ($4,800) vs Saints

As mentioned in the Matt Stafford pick, the Saints have been downright dreadful against Tight Ends this season. They have so far conceded 4 touchdowns and have allowed 290 yards against opposing Tight Ends. That’s a trend that can’t continue, but it may well do when they come up against a team that loves to air the ball out as Detroit do. Hockenson is getting the targets to see an upward trend in his production. He was targeted 7 times this past week and is currently averaging 12 draft king points per week. All teams he has faced so far this season have done considerably better against Tight Ends than New Orleans have. This is a recipe for a good week for the former first-rounder!

D/ST – Packers ($2,900) vs Falcons

I don’t think this is an easy match up per se. The Atlanta Falcons are a team with an offence capable of putting up good numbers (and a defence capable of conceding more!). They do have a couple of potential absentees though. Julio Jones and Russell Gage are both questionable and are both players who see volume in this offence. Green Bay has had a strong start, however, they have given up big scores each week. I’m willing to take a punt here though especially at the price. They’re a talented outfit and Atlanta have been hit for 6 two weeks running. Aaron Rodgers is the ultimate clock managing Quarterback, which may help the Packers defence stay fresh in this one.

-Nick @nickofwigan

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