DFS Picks - DFS NFL Week 13

DFS Week 10 – Return to the Win column!

Yes, Rush Nation! We are back and, as the title says, we are back in the win column for DFS once again! 

My line-up selection for last week was a high scorer on the whole, clocking in 174.64 points. This was quite surprising given that the line up was also littered with disappointing performances. There are certain players at the moment that are providing such a quality output, that they are practically selecting themselves into your line-ups. Or they should be!

Dalvin Cook continued his rich vein of form, and yet again displayed his uncanny ability to find the end-zone. Twice, for that matter. He absolutely should be in your considerations again in week 10, though he does face a tougher test against the Chicago Bears. The Bears have surrendered 21.7 Draft King points to Running Backs this season. That sees them just outside of the top 10 Defenses against the position. Though if you do opt for Cook again this week, I can’t really blame or question the decision much.

DJ Chark (doo-doo-doo-doo-doo-doo)

Last week, I was on the fence about whether or not to include DJ Chark in my DFS lineup. Given the uncertainty at the Quarterback position, I wasn’t sure we’d get the same output that we’ve come to expect from the former LSU Receiver. He’s also battled niggling injuries throughout his campaign thus far, too. Let’s put all that behind us though and forget those concerns ever existed. Of the 3 receivers I started in my week 9 lineup, Chark was by far the highest scoring. He clocked up 146 receiving yards, 1 Receiving touchdown and a massive 30.60 Draft Kings points. He didn’t miss a beat with Rookie Jake Luton at Quarterback. The Jaguars have arguably one of the toughest closing schedules in the league. That means they’ll be forced to throw the ball. If the price is right, Chark absolutely has to be in your thoughts moving forward.

Clyde Edwards-Helwhere?

Let me start by saying, I am concerned. The Chiefs aren’t running the ball, and when they do, they don’t run with any sort of consistent success. The past 3 outings for Clyde Edwards-Helaire have seen him carry the ball a total of 19 times. He’s also only had 12 targets in that 3-game span. He scored 12.4 Draft King points in week 9, which is modest if not underwhelming, but nowhere near enough for his price of $6,100.

Now, I wouldn’t mind, but Le’Veon Bell isn’t really running the ball all that well either! I think Edwards-Helaire has all the talent to be a successful dual threat Running Back in Kansas. However, until we can see consistent and efficient usage, I would avoid Chiefs Running Backs, in fantasy and DFS. This especially includes Edwards-Helaire, who will likely be the highest priced of the group. 

Week 10 DFS Picks

That brings us nicely on to my week 10 recommendations! The aim as always will be to seek out those players at a bargain price. The players who are potentially under-priced but could over perform their price tag. 

As was the case in previous weeks, player prices will reflect Draft Kings prices. The points scored will also reflect Draft Kings DFS point scoring, which differs slightly from standard Fantasy points.

QB – Jared Goff ($6,500) vs Seahawks

I will admit, this isn’t exactly what you’d call a bargain on the surface. Just like Big Ben Roethlisberger wasn’t at the exact same price last week. Goff is priced as the 8th highest Quarterback on the list this week, but he’s a must have looking at the match up.

Firstly, the Rams will be fresh. They’re coming off a bye week where they’ll have had time to regroup and reflect after their lacklustre performance against the Dolphins in week 8. Secondly, Goff is playing the Seahawks. They give up 30.4 Draft King points per game to the position, the most in the league. The Rams have a talented receiving corps who will make Goff’s life a lot easier against this secondary than they did against the talented Dolphins secondary. Big Ben, priced the same last week, finished on 28.04 Draft King points. Goff is more than capable of the same this week and could even eclipse it in a game that could be a shootout in LA. 

RB – J.D. McKissic ($4,900) @ Lions

I have toyed and battled with McKissic as a recommendation for weeks. With how he is currently being deployed in the Washington Football Team offense, he’s practically their #2 Receiver. He’s had 47 targets on the season, that shows the kind of work Washington is giving him in their passing game. He doesn’t contribute much on the ground, in fact he is only averaging around 3-4 carriers per game. That isn’t why I’m recommending him though. Alex Smith looks like he’ll go into week 10 as the starting Quarterback for Washington. McKissic had 14 targets last week, prior to week 9, his season high was 8.

With Smith at Quarterback, look for McKissic to be heavily involved, especially on check downs again. I’d definitely suggest looking to McKissic as a crafty flex play for this week. 

WR – Jacobi Meyers ($4,500) vs Ravens

New England has their share of issues at the Receiver position. Julian Edelman will be out again this week, currently on IR. Add to that, N’Keal Harry missed last week’s game with concussion. With Edelman and Harry out, Jakobi Meyers has seen his number called more often than not. In week 9, he had 169 receiving yards from 12 receptions, giving Meyers a massive 31.9 Draft King points. He’s being heavily targeted, seeing the ball thrown his way 30 times in the last 3 games. Given the Patriots don’t look set to get much healthier at the position, and given Harry’s struggles this season, Meyers could be in line for another busy but productive day.

Game Script here is likely to dictate that the Patriots will be behind and will need to air the ball out. Perfect scenario for their new go-to guy, Meyers. It’s a great DFS price here, too. Despite his productive week 9 performance, he’s actually priced lower this week due to his opposition.

TE – Robert Tonyan ($3,600) vs Jaguars

Robert Tonyan flew out of the blocks in week 2, posting 3 back to back scores of 10.5, 16.0 and a stand out 33.8. He’s since been a little disappointing. That is partly due to the Packers getting some bodies back, with the likes of Davante Adams, who was absent earlier in the season with injury. His week 8 showing against the Vikings felt like a corner turned, when Tonyan posted 12.9. That was short lived, as he again disappointed in week 9 against the 49ers, scoring a very poor 1.5 Draft King points. He has a nice matchup in week 10, coming up against the Jaguars. They have given up 15.8 Draft King points on average per game against Tight Ends this season. They have also allowed 7 receiving touchdowns to the position, too.

The only caveat to selecting Tonyan this week may be that the Packers are likely to win this game by a significant scoreline. That is likely going to mean Tonyan and the Packers receivers are possibly in line for a quieter day, as they may look to run the ball and clock manage. He’s another who is in the bargain bucket though, and is a great price for the potential production he could provide. It’s actually his lowest price in DFS since week 4.  

D/ST – Dolphins ($2,800) vs Chargers

Defences don’t tend to score high in daily fantasy sports, or in fantasy in general. Not with any level of consistency, anyway. That said, the Miami Dolphins are one of the few defences that have been able to score consistent fantasy points. They’ve had double point hauls 4 times this season, and in their last 4 games, they’ve averaged 14.5 Draft King points per game. They’re modestly priced this week at $2,800. They are facing a Chargers offense who have scored at least 27 points per week since week 4.

The advantage the Dolphins Defence has though, is that it is capable of turning the ball over. They’ve managed to do this in all but their opening game this season. They have also had 3 games whereby they’ve had at least 2 defensive turnovers. This one could be a shootout, and I expect it to be. That doesn’t make this defence any less attractive.

Introducing the starting DFS line up…

Finally, to round out the picks, here is my initially proposed team. As always, this is subject to change come gameday:

QB – Jared Goff ($6,500) vs Seahawks

RB1 – Aaron Jones ($7,100) vs Jaguars

RB2 – James Robinson ($6,600) @ Packers

WR1 – Jacobi Meyers ($4,500) vs Ravens

WR2 – Allen Robinson ($7,000) vs Vikings

WR3 – Cooper Kupp ($6,900) vs Seahawks

TE – Robert Tonyan ($3,600) vs Jaguars

Flex – J.D. McKissic ($4,900) @ Lions

D/ST – D/ST – Dolphins ($2,800) vs Chargers

Budget remaining – $100

The Running Backs

I am covering bases this week and going for two running backs from the same game.

Aaron Jones is more than capable of a ceiling game here. The Jaguars are giving up 28.7 Draft King points to opposition Running Backs. If Green Bay dominates proceedings here, as they are expected to, then look to Jones to be used to manage the game on the ground. He’s always a threat in goal line scenarios and he contributes in his teams passing offense too. Feels a must own this week!

I do like the pick of James Robinson too, though. At $6,600, he’s reasonably priced for one of the league’s most productive backs. Green Bay is worse than Jacksonville against the run. They concede an average of 35 Draft King points per week to the position, only one team gives up more! Their passing Defence is considerably better, so i expect Jacksonville to go in with a similar game plan to that of Minnesota several weeks back. RUN THE BALL.

The Receivers

Cooper Kupp feels like a must start this week against the league’s worst defense vs the pass. They’re giving up a staggering 63.2 Draft King points per week to opposition Receivers. If you are struggling for the DFS funds, Robert Woods is also a nice pick and is $300 cheaper. However, I feel Kupp has a higher upside. Not only is he the Rams most targeted receiver, he’s also a redzone threat, an area where Robert Woods has struggled in recent seasons. Kupp is Goff’s comfort blanket, and I’m banking on big games from both Goff and Kupp. Hopefully the two go hand in hand.

Allen Robinson also feels like a good, if not safe pick here. The Vikings have given up 16 receiving touchdowns to Wide Receivers this season, that’s tied for most in the League with the Dallas Cowboys. Their 46.7 Draft King points conceded to Receivers is also ranked 29th in the league. Robinson has had a massive 86 targets this season already, and has 712 yards to show for his 57 receptions. The workload will most certainly be there.

Best of luck as always in week 10 Rush Nation. Be sure to listen to our Daily Fantasy Sport podcast here at 5-Yard Rush! We will be bringing you even more DFS picks and opinions on the best player picks of the week.

-Nick Owen (@nickofwigan)

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