Each Friday I will be walking you through some Dynasty buys and sells highlighting the players you should be targeting and shifting in your dynasty Leagues. This week I wanted to highlight a buy but also look towards the offseason for those who aren’t contending.
For those of you who have listened to me over the last week, you won’t be surprised by this call. I truly believe Jerry Jeudy is taking over the Denver offence and is primed for a huge finish to the season.
One of the best route runners in the league despite only being in his second year. Jeudy over the past two weeks has almost tripled Courtland Suttons target share. Jeudy meshes better with Bridgewater playing style no doubt but Sutton is fast becoming an afterthought in this offence. From a fantasy point over expectation standpoint, Jeudy is underperforming to the tune of -1 point per game. That is largely due to his lack of scoring a TD. However, both of those are likely to regress.
Jeudy may not be the biggest or fastest or sexiest receiver. However, he can create separation and that translates to whoever is the QB. Currently commanding a 23.5% target share Jeudy could be a WR2 with Bridgewater under centre. Now imagine how good he could be with Aaron Rodgers or another stud under centre in Denver! I’m happy paying a mid 1st for Jeudy. He is my WR20 in dynasty and I really believe we could see him emerge over the coming weeks.
All Running Backs
So this is a move for the non-contenders. And yes this is coming from the guy that says you should roster 15-20 Running backs on every roster. However, the Running Back value is the most fragile throughout the offseason. Over the past two years, we have seen reasonably high priced Backs have their value disappear in an instant as a team drafts or signs a back. I’m thinking Marlon Mack, James Robinson and Melvin Gordon most recently.
Once you get into the offseason Running Backs hold less value. Until we then approach August/September and they boom in value. From a pure economics play, I lose a bit of value as I usually have to overpay for Running backs on my contending rosters around September. However, I don’t have to run the injury gauntlet through the offseason or the draft roulette.
How I like to play it is to sell my Running Backs now if I’m not a contender for peak value to those contending teams. I then acquire as many Backs as I physically can roster for free or super cheap during the offseason. This is because people forget about injuries and backups as they expect the starter to get 100% of the work in season. Then I go out and buy my studs early in the season once things are settled and we have made it through training camp injury-free. Or I acquire Running Backs during the draft!
It is very proactive and as I say may not be the best play from a pure economics perspective. However, it does mean I’m not left holding the carrot of an expensive back who is either replaced or injured before the season starts.