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Dynasty Risers and Fallers – Week 16
Hello everyone and welcome to the final dynasty risers and fallers article of the 2022 season. Week 17 officially marks the end of the fantasy football calendar, and if you’re playing a championship in Week 18, you’ve made a mistake and you are on your own. The final week of the season is full of teams looking toward the playoffs or next year anyway so it’s tough to evaluate. Sutton is past the age when fantasy managers still see upside, and it’s hard to see him living up to his potential in year six. This is especially true considering Russell Wilson’s play this season. While it certainly wasn’t all his fault, Wilson has significantly regressed compared to just two years ago. He could certainly turn it around, but his days of being an elite fantasy Quarterback are likely over. In dynasty leagues, Courtland Sutton is an upside WR4 whose value has little chance of increasing at this point even with a productive season.
The 5 Yard Dynasty team never rests though and they will quickly turn their attention to the NFL draft and the 2023 season. Big thanks to the 5 Yard Staff and you the readers for an incredible year. With that here are the biggest dynasty risers and fallers from Week 16. I will take a look at both their season long performances to date as well as their outlook going into next year.
Dynasty Fantasy Football Risers
T.J. Hockenson
It would be hard not to include Hockenson after totaling 16 targets this past week on his way to 109 yards and 2 touchdowns. He is clearly the preferred second option in this offense after I spent all week hyping up Adam Thielen. Hockenson will be ranked in the top 5 Tight Ends as usual in Week 17, but his dynasty prospects are exciting as well. After giving up a second round pick to acquire Hockenson before the trade deadline, the Vikings will be inclined to work out a contract extension.
Kirk Cousins is far from a perfect Quarterback, but his play is consistently in the upper echelon of signal callers. The Viking’s coach Kevin O’Connell comes from the Sean McVay coaching tree too and his game plan should continue to feature the pass. While he won’t ever be Travis Kelce, I expect Hockenson to be a top 6 Tight End in the NFL for the foreseeable future. This should warrant around 5th to 6th round value in dynasty start ups.
I don’t love his trade value though. Like most Tight Ends in his tier, he doesn’t provide a premium value over weekly streaming options. However, he will have his spike weeks and it will save you from trying to play guessing games on the waiver wire.
Evan Engram
Evan Engram is remarkably sitting as the TE2 for the 2022 season after an inconsistent year from most of the top players at the position. He’s finished as a top 6 Tight End each of the last four weeks and has been Trevor Lawrence’s favorite target over that span. The Jaguars don’t look so crazy now for giving him $9 million this year. The only question now is whether he will resign with Jacksonville next season. Given Lawrence and Engram’s connection, it would be hard to see them letting him go.
I’d be wary of acquiring him in the off-season though. Lawrence’s price is going to skyrocket and Engrams will along with it. He will likely be going too high for me in dynasty drafts but that shouldn’t keep him out of the dynasty fantasy football risers column. It’ll be hard to find eight Tight Ends to rank ahead of him going into 2023 and I would be excited to have him if he’s already on my roster.
Tyler Allgeier
Tyler Allgeier has been fantastic the last two weeks totaling 253 yards and a touchdown. Better yet, for the first time all season this past Sunday he saw work in the passing game. He caught four passes for 43 yards and is beginning to take this backfield away from Cordarrelle Patterson. While Patterson had a fun run the last year, it likely wasn’t going to continue going into year ten in 2023.
The only question for Allgeier is whether he will get the chance to lead the Falcons’ Running Back room next season. We have seen time and time again promising mid round rookie Running Backs get over-drafted later on. It’ll be tough to rank him as anything more than an RB3 going into next year as a result. However, he will be an attractive sleeper as a potential starter in what should hopefully be an improving offense in 2023.
Dynasty Fantasy Football Fallers
Mike Evans
This one may seem fairly obvious but Mike Evans’ days of being a top-end dynasty asset are over. After a strong start to the season, his production hasn’t been the same since Chris Godwin got back up to speed. This offense just isn’t having the success it takes to create two consistently viable fantasy Wide Receivers, especially considering Evans has taken a backseat role.
With Tom Brady’s uncertain future and Evans turning 30 next year, it will be an uphill climb to recoup dynasty value. He is an older 29 years old as well as he has played nearly every possible snap in his nine-year career. Despite nagging hamstring injuries, he has only missed a total of seven games in his career. An impressive feat, but his best days are most certainly behind him.
Given all the uncertainty, Mike Evans will be moving into back-end WR3 territory in my dynasty rankings. While he will likely outperform that ranking next season, I’d rather take a chance on higher-upside young Wide Receivers. If Brady retires, his value will most certainly nose dive as there isn’t a replacement available that could fill his shoes. He’s not a trade candidate though as no one is likely sending anything of note for him at this point.
Courtland Sutton
This is another player that isn’t getting any younger and is facing a murky Quarterback situation. While Courtland Sutton isn’t as old as Mike Evans, he will be 28 years old next year. He hasn’t been anywhere near as productive though never having finished better than WR19 in PPR formats in five seasons. He has fallen behind Jerry Jeudy in the pecking order too, who was always the superior prospect, but fantasy analysts have short memories.
Sutton is past the age when fantasy managers still see upside, and it’s hard to see him living up to his potential in year six. This is especially true considering Russell Wilson’s play this season. While it certainly wasn’t all his fault, Wilson has significantly regressed compared to just two years ago. He could certainly turn it around, but his days of being an elite fantasy Quarterback are likely over. In dynasty leagues, Courtland Sutton is an upside WR4 whose value has little chance of increasing at this point even with a productive season.
That’s all for this week! You can follow Emerson on Twitter @Dynasty_Analyst to keep up with his work. Keep your eyes peeled for more articles from our great Dynasty team, coming soon. Remember to tune into the 5 Yard Dynasty livestream every Tuesday at 8pm (GMT or 3pm EST).
