Week 3 is in the books, Vegas took a beating and Kesh (@Keshy6) went 7-2 in his picks last week. Anything above 55% is a good week, so we hope you made some extra pocket change to go into Week 4 of the College Football season. The SEC is back in action in Week 4, so we have some new names joining the action. Kesh looks ahead to this week’s college football slate, sprinkling a bit of Vegas over ranked teams, and giving his predictions on each game from the Top 25.
Please note, all the lines are courtesy of SkyBet at the time of writing. Lines are subject to change.
Kansas State @ Oklahoma (-27.5)
Oklahoma looked impressive in their opener led by controversial Netflix star, Spencer Rattler. They welcome Kansas State who had an upset loss in their first game of the season against Arkansas State. Oklahoma lost this match up last season so will be looking for revenge – this one could get nasty. Oklahoma wins, plus the points.
Florida (-14.5) @ Ole Miss
Season openers for both teams in late September is confusing to read but here we are. Florida are ranked 5th in the nation without seeing the field. Without seeing either team play it is a tough one to call, but the current line of -14.5 is just a bit too risky going in blind. If the line moves and you can get Florida at -13.5 or under, take it. But as things stand, I’ll take Florida on the money line.
Notre Dame (-16.5) @ Wake Forest
Wake Forest were stunned against NC State last week but couldn’t muster enough to get the win, whereas Notre Dame looked scarily good as they put up 52 on South Florida. Clemson couldn’t beat the spread against Wake when the two faced off, but The Irish’s running game is something to be envious of. Notre Dame covers the spread.
Kentucky @ Auburn (-8)
In my opinion this is the SEC game of the week, as 8th ranked Auburn take on 23rd placed Kentucky. Two ranked teams face up against each other. This is not going to be like Miami/Louisville from last week, because the SEC plays defence. Tight game all the way. Over/Under is currently 48.5 – I’d take the under just because I haven’t seen Auburn sophomore quarterback Bo Nix play enough yet to know if he will take the leap in year two.
UCF (-27) @ East Carolina
UCF taught Georgia Tech a lesson last week after they put up nearly 700 yards on their opposition. There is no hope for East Carolina in this one. UCF wins big and covers the spread.
Louisville @ Pittsburgh (-3)
After the thriller of last week, emotions are going to be high for Louisville. Which is why I look to lean with Pitt who are coming off back to back wins full of confidence. Take Pitt on the money line in this one.
Georgia Southern @ Louisiana (-14.5)
Louisiana looks to continue their winning ways as they host Georgia Southern who came off a close winner at Campbell last week. Louisiana is going to be a different opponent than the one Georgia Southern faced last time out. For that reason, I’ll take Louisiana to win at home. I’m not sure they’ll cover the spread, but if the line goes down in-play then I’ll take anything under -9.5.
Mississippi State @ LSU (-17)
LSU don’t look like the national champions of last season. After losing a lot of their roster to the NFL, the new look defending champions host Mississippi State in their season opener. I can’t trust this LSU side without seeing what they have to offer so I’ll take Mississippi State +17. They will keep it close enough to cover the points. You might even fancy taking the underdogs on the money line if you’re feeling spicy.
Texas (-18) @ Texas Tech
Texas Tech, who on the back of a narrow win, welcome their neighbours to a Saturday Showdown. Unfortunately, this battle of Texas is going to be a blowout. Texas covers the spread and then some.
West Virginia @ Oklahoma State (-8.5)
OSU quarterback Spencer Sanders’ status for Saturday is questionable, which leads me to think that this line should be closer to pick ‘em. The Mountaineers are on the back of a blowout victory in Week 2 and if Sanders is out then expect West Virginia to cover the spread, if not to win outright here.
Army @ Cincinnati (-13.5)
Ranked Army takes on ranked Cincinnati in what could be a very quick game if Army runs the rock all game long. This one is a tough one to call. The current Under/Over is 46.5 and I am very tempted to take the under because this clock is going to be ticking and points will be hard to come by.
Georgia (-25) @ Arkansas
Georgia will be without Jake Fromm at the QB position for the first time in years. JT Daniels is QB1 on their roster but we will see who is taking snaps come game time. Arkansas’ fast paced offence won’t be able to penetrate the Georgia defence which will be their undoing in this one. Georgia outright is where I’ll be putting my money, not sure about their offensive weapons to cover the spread until we see them in action.
Alabama (-26) @ Missouri
Alabama running back, Najee Harris, will be one to watch in this matchup. If the Crimson Tide can establish the run, not only will we see them pile on the points but it’ll be the first steps of a possible Heisman campaign for Harris. Alabama are ranked second without taking a snap 4 weeks into the College Football season, and they will prove why they deserve to be there on Saturday night. Roll Tide rolls to a big win and covers the spread.
Vanderbilt @ Texas A&M (-30.5)
-30.5 is too many points for the Aggies to cover against Vandy. The noisy home advantage isn’t going to be a factor here with crowds being limited. Take A&M on the money line but Vanderbilt covers the spread.
Tennessee (-3) @ South Carolina
This one is going to be a great matchup, hence why the line is so close. The only difference is that the Volunteers have more returners in their starting line-up so that will help them take away the W from South Carolina. Tennessee -3, just.
Florida State @ Miami (-11)
Florida State are no longer ranked and rightly so. They were truly awful in their opener against Georgia Tech. Miami have scored 78 points in their two games already this season and the Hurricanes will cause more of a disaster for the team from Florida. This line might go up so try and get as low of a number as possible. Miami wins and covers the points.
NC State @ Virginia Tech (-6.5)
Virginia Tech will get their season off to a start on Saturday night hosting NC State. This line is already dropping closer to pick ‘em because the Hokies may not have a full roster available to play. This will be my first pass of the season, as I’m not even sure the game will be played.
Troy @ BYU (-14.5)
BYU passed and ran over Army in their opener and will do the same to Troy. Slightly wary of injuries for the home team which is why I’m only taking the money line as Troy could keep this tight until the fourth quarter. BYU money line.
You know where to get the results on Saturday. Head over to @5yardcollege on Twitter. You knew this already, but just in case you’d forgotten – Saturdays are for rushing too.