Russell Wilson trade

Russell Wilson being traded to the Broncos – Part 2

In the second edition of this series. I will examine the Russell Wilson trade from the Seattle Seahawks’ perspective. It is evident with the trade of Wilson and the release of Bobby Wagner. The Seahawks are looking for a fresh start. They have moved on from every member of their 2014 Super Bowl team. This could lead to them looking at a complete rebuild over the next couple of seasons. However, that could change if they were to acquire a veteran QB such as Deshaun Watson. I wouldn’t put that as a likely scenario. Instead, a rookie QB will be in play at the draft’s ninth pick. The Seahawks also could decide to bring in a low-end veteran such as Mitchell Trubisky. He could step in while they groom a QB this year or next. Whoever they are, they will be stepping into a solid situation with two top-line WRs and a strong backfield. Here we will dive into the current Seattle Seahawks and how their value was affected.

Drew Lock ADP: Unranked My Rank: QB42

I don’t think there is much to say about Lock either. It is improbable that Seattle decides to move forward with Drew Lock as their QB. At best, he would start ahead of a young QB while grooming him to play. I think Lock’s future in the NFL is as a backup QB and can mainly be ignored in fantasy leagues other than in those deeper Superflex formats. 

Rashad Penny DLF ADP: RB36 My Rank: RB37

Rashad Penny was a fantasy playoff hero last season, scoring 19.5 and 32.5 points in the semis and championship game, respectively. He likely led a lot of fantasy teams to a deep playoff run. This has led to a massive rebound in his fantasy value, climbing to DLFs RB36. A ranking as a low-end RB3 feels about right for me, considering his lack of production for most of his career before this stretch run. There is no guarantee that he will have the starting job next season, with Chris Carson projected to be back by the start of camp. Seattle’s offense is also likely to take a significant step back with Russell Wilson being gone. His ADP will likely fall after this news, but he’s not a terrible investment at his current ADP as a 13th round selection. This is not the time of year I usually try and purchase these types of RBs due to the uncertainty. However, Penny is a free agent this off-season. If he were to sign on to another team as the lead back or take control of Seattle’s backfield, he could be a bargain. 

Chris Carson DLF ADP: RB49 My Rank: RB38

Chris Carson’s ADP suggests people thought that this injury would cause him to retire or that he was going to be the clear backup to Penny going into the 2023 season. I don’t see either being the case, as reports suggest he should be on his way back by training camp. If that is accurate, I expect he will be a focal point of the offense when he does return. Seattle isn’t likely to have a great offense this year. However, at a price tag of RB49, that is almost free. I’d be happy to draft Carson there, who could have RB2 upside if he comes back healthy this season. I have him only one spot lower than Rashad Penny in my rankings. 

DK Metcalf DLF ADP: WR8 My Rank: WR9

There is likely no one whose stock was hurt worse by the loss of Russell Wilson in the eyes of many evaluators. A consensus top 3 dynasty WR coming into the 2021 season, this past season didn’t go as expected for Metcalf. He struggled with consistency on his way to a disappointing WR14 finish. Due to his lackluster year, I was already fading him a bit, putting him as my WR8 before this trade and just knocking him one spot to WR9 after this trade. Although his QB situation is murkier, Metcalf didn’t appear to have great chemistry with Russell Wilson last year. He posted 3 of his five best games with Geno Smith as his starter.

Furthermore, he is only 24 years of age, a free agent next season, and there are rumors he could potentially be dealt with this offseason. If someone is dropping Metcalf significantly in their rankings, he will be a great buy this offseason. Seattle will likely bring in a veteran QB or one of the better signal-callers in this year’s draft class. This is when the buy window will slam shut again. 

Tyler Lockett DLF ADP: WR31 My Rank: WR39

Lockett is the other Seattle WR majorly affected by the Russell Wilson trade. Unfortunately, there is less optimism to be found in Lockett’s fantasy future, mainly due to his age. In September, he turns 30 years of age, and history tells us WRs soon see a steep decline in production after reaching this stage of their careers. Nothing about Lockett’s play, particularly the final seven games, suggests a decline, but at age 29, I’m ready to move on. Lockett doesn’t have the luxury of being a 24 year old like Metcalf, who can afford to wait on a better situation. I think Lockett’s ADP will drop significantly when the next round of ADPs is released. However, I would sell for any second-round pick or wait until Seattle’s QB situation becomes more apparent. Then sell.

Noah Fant DLF ADP: TE9 My Rank: TE10

I’ve seen many people state that this trade majorly hurts Noah Fant’s fantasy value, but I would disagree. He was the 3rd option in a Denver offense with poor QB play, and he appears to be walking into the same situation in Seattle. I would argue that his situation couldn’t possibly be worse than last season. If you liked him before this trade, his QB next season could very well be an upgrade to Bridgewater/Lock. However, I didn’t love him before this move, and he remains roughly in the same value range for me as he was before. 

Unless he received a significant upgrade in QB play, his play doesn’t suggest he will be an elite NFL Tight End, making him touchdown-dependent like most who play his position. Outside of the four games, he scored a touchdown. He only managed to crack 10 PPR points three times throughout the season. After being burned by Hunter Henry and Evan Engram over the years, I tend to avoid these low upside fantasy TEs in this range. However, if someone thinks his value is completely dead and would sell for a random 2nd that would be acceptable.

You can Follow Emerson on Twitter @Dynasty_Analyst.And keep your eyes peeled for more articles coming soon.

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