So you have just finished assembling the core of your fantasy redraft / bestball team, and you may be thinking to yourself as you gaze upon the beauty or blasphemy that was the past four to five rounds, “What’s next?”. “When do I begin picking players based on their APD value? Although it is true you more than likely won’t win your league solely based on your draft, having a few later-round picks help you along the way sure wouldn’t hurt.
There’s no better feeling in fantasy football than drafting a player with a low ADP and having him hit and contribute to your team. These players referred to as “Sleepers” are real game-changers when it comes to your flex positions. Streaming options down the stretch of a fantasy season may very well be the difference between a four-win season and a nine-win playoff team.
Still uncertain of what a sleeper is or would like some examples? Then be sure to check out my mate Adam Murfet’s streamers article, which comes hot and ready every week of the NFL season https://5yardrush.co.uk/i-streamed-a-stream-nfl-streaming-targets-nfl-week-17/.
For instance, Robby Anderson in 2020 was drafted as the WR52 and finished the season as the WR19. N. Agholor also was drafted as a later receiver (WR102) and finished as the WR34. There is value to be found with every selection you make in your upcoming draft. Let’s get digging and help you find the most value for your later-round selections. (2020 ADP and scoring based on Sleeper.com)
(LVR) QB Derek Carr (QB26 / Overall 228)
The Vegas receiver room is murky water. They’re not the most prolific group of humans ever to play at the position; however, Carr consistently finds ways to assist your fantasy team week by week. Last season the Raider signal-caller threw twelve games with over twenty completions, ten games he tossed at least two passing touchdowns, and finished the season with only two multiple interception games. Throughout Carr’s entire career, he has been sitting pretty between the QB12-20 at the end of the season. You have to feel great about rostering a consistent, effective QB2 in Superflex leagues, especially at the given ADP of 228 (Wowzers). Speaking of consistency, Derek has missed only two games in his seven-year career. In both of his last two seasons, he has finished the year under ten interceptions.
In the previous season, Derek rushed for 140 yards and three touchdowns. A nice added rushing bonus for a player considered to play as a pocket passer. The team also has Waller at tight end, who is as efficient of a tight end option as they come and finish 2020 with a 73.8 reception percentage. Recently signed free agent running back Kenyan Drake (80.6 reception percentage) could see reps at wide receiver and a change of pace back behind fellow running back Josh Jacobs (73.3 reception percentage).
(MIN) QB Kirk Cousins (QB19 / Overall 156)
Although his ADP may not appear as spicy as the previously mentioned quarterback Cpt, Kirk may be worth the mid-round value in redraft leagues. He had ten games under his belt with over twenty completions in 2020 and three multiple interception games. Cousins rushed for only one touchdown yet has consistently finished as a beneficial QB2. Kirk has passed for under 500 attempts only once in his career as a starter. He has one of the best running backs in football and impressive wide receivers to assist him. Kirk has not thrown for less than twenty-five touchdowns in a season as a starter, not bad for the QB19 in 2020.
(AZ) RB James Conner (RB32 / Overall 79)
To those I have conversed with every time I bring up Conner, I get raised eyebrows and face a human when they smell something stinky. You know the one when you take out your overflowing trash with chicken juice in it; however, I believe he may be more of the “recycling bin” type this season. He wouldn’t be the number one rushing threat on the team, as I expect Murray to rush for over 100 attempts. With the scheme drawn up by Kliff Kingsbury, Arizona running backs have averaged 4.4 yards per carrying in the past two seasons.
Though he is sure to split time with co-back Edmonds, Connor is currently being drafted a few spots behind Edmonds. Edmonds’s current ADP stands at 68. Edmonds has yet to carry the rock over one hundred times in a season in his three-season career. Conner had carried the ball over a hundred times each season except when he was the RB2 behind LeVeon Bell and sharing time with Stevan Ridley(woof) in 2017.
(TB) RB Ronald Jones (RB29 / Overall 71)
Tampa is enjoying their 1A and 1B backfield, but I believe the better of the two value options would be Jones. The Tampa Bay running back finished ten contests last season with ten or more carries. Of those ten contests, six were over fifteen carries. Over five yards per rush average in 2020 on 192 attempts isn’t too shabby. He finished the season with twenty-eight receptions on forty-two targets. I will look for Jones to improve his catching efficiency this coming season.
Fournette, The other contributing back, was targeted 46 times out of the backfield. However, Fournette had just four games last season with over ten carries and one game where he ran for over a hundred yards (103yds). In nine games last season, Jones carried the ball for over fifty yards.
(PHI) WR Jalen Reagor (WR67 / Overall 178)
Last year Philidelphia targeted their wide receiver two twelve percent of the time. Last season Jalen finished nine games with four or more targets. He also held a catch rate of fifty-seven percent in eleven games. Jalen did miss five games due to injury. When Reagor caught four or more passes in a game, he averaged 11.22 yards per catch. For a reference point, he was slightly higher than Curtis Samuel (11.1) and Robby Anderson (11.5). Three of Jalen Hurts starts; he threw thirty or more passes. The opportunity and volume should be there for Jalen’s taking.
The Eagles did bring in Heisman Winner DeVonta Smith. Not to worry, that should take some of the heat off of Reagor. Please take advantage of those who have given up hope; at #178, you can’t afford to toss a dart at a value player in his position.
(DAL) WR Michael Gallup (WR51 / Overall 120)
The opportunity for Gallup to be a leader in the Dallas offense has all but slipped his grasp, yet there is still some life value for your fantasy team this season when it comes to Dallas’ wide receiver three. Gallup finished as the wide receiver thirty-eight despite playing with an assortment of backup quarterbacks down the stretch last season.
Dallas passed the ball over six hundred times last season and with Dak targeting Gallup twenty-eight times in the first five games of last season. I enjoy the odds that Gallup helps your team more than he hurts it in the long run. Michael’s yards per catch was 14.2, which, although it was the lowest total in a single season for him, is still impressive, placing him just below Mike Evans (14.4) and Tyreek Hill (14.7). Also, Gallup finished just over a hundred targets(105) in the 2020 season as the wide receiver three; notable players targeted less than Gallup is Nelson Agholor, Laviska Shenault jr., and Curtis Samuel.
(TEN) TE Anthony Firkser (TE24 / Overall 201)
Titans general manager informed the media that Anthony’s role as tight end one isn’t secure as initially presumed. Superstar wide receiver Julio Jones was added to the wide receiver corps recently. Expect the Titans to value their tight end higher in the red zone. In the RedZone, the defensive focus will mainly be on the big three (Henry, Jones, and Brown).
Firkser did finish 2020 with fifty-three targets. I enjoy the thought of Firkser helping in best-ball. He even can be useful in redraft if you are participating in a more significant league. Anthony finished the season with a catch rate of seventy-three percent while averaging 9.9 yards per catch.
That’s all I have for you today, Rush Nation; a huge thank you for reading this. I hope it helps, and if you have any questions, feel free to message or interact with me on Twitter https://twitter.com/caliking49er17.